What does forecasting the market must do with calling the World Cup winner? Plenty if you hear Swiss Bank UBS.
From the World Cup 2006, the analysts and economists in the Wealth Management Research in UBS employed the statistical design that allowed them to forecast market trends and investment choices and implemented it to forecast the World Cup winner at trans7.
They accurately predicted that Italy are the winner. They also succeeded in acquiring half of those eight quarter-finalists right. Their track record also contained properly forecasting three of those four semi-finalists.
UBS’s version is a purely qualitative analysis as well as the standards used are beyond operation, home benefit and teams’ strength. Now let us talk about the version:
(Brazil five occasions, Italy four occasions, Germany three occasions, Argentina and Uruguay twice, France and England one time each). So based on UBS, should you select one of those seven groups, it seems to be a safe bet.
In terms of the home benefit, a third of those last world cups has been won from the host nation. Currently:
# Some games will be performed at places at high elevation. This is a definite benefit to the host as well as the South American teams such as Brazil.
Will there be lots of controversial calls supporting the host?
# This being Africa’s World Cup, there are lots of people who wonder whether an African country will progress beyond the group stage to the quarter-finals for the very first time. In every championship, there’ll always be a group that is going to be the surprise package. Can this group come in Africa?
Up to now every World Cup was won by an European group or even a South American side. No European group has won away from the comfort of their very own continent. In South Africa, many pundits feel that the South American teams will probably possess so called floor benefit.
Concerning the potency of those groups, UBS took into account the FIFA standing along with the bookmakers’ odds.
So which staff has UBS chosen to become WC 2010 winner? Brazil.
My crystal ball tells me it’s Spain.
In each World Cup, gambling wise, it’s an actual challenge. The championship has been held every four years and eligibility finishes months until the ball has been kicked at the very first game of the finals.
World Cup signifies patriotic fervor comes in to play. Most of us have passionate feelings for some team or a particular participant which can determine our choice.